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Is It Time To Lock In Your Gains?

daily chart ANovember 14 2014

11/14/2014- Another mixed day with the Dow Jones down 17 points (-0.10%) and the Nasdaq up 8 points (+0.18%) 

The stock market continues to perform just as anticipated. I have a number of incredibly important things for you to consider over the weekend.

#1: The market has done this just 4 times in the last 20 years

An incredibly important technical look at the market and definitely worth your time. In addition, consider the following. The rally from February 5th low to July 17th top (over 6 months) resulted in about a 1,800 point advance. The market advanced just as much since October 14th bottom. In just 20 trading days. Typically, such moves resolve in one of two ways. Either a long period of distribution/consolidation at the top or a fast retracement right back to the bottom. Beware.

#2: Marc ‘Dr. Doom’ Faber: I will soon be proven right

Despite his multi-decade long excellent track record, financial media talking heads are once again making fun of legendary investors Marc Faber. Just watch the video and take a look at the article comments. His fundamental view is spot on. Today’s markets are nothing more than a perpetual shell game instituted by the FED. Yet, the laws of physics dictate that the market will come crashing down…..sooner or later…….wiping out all Bullish gains within a short period of time. Point being, when Bulls and clueless financial commentators begin to make fun of Marc Faber, the market is likely to be approaching a significant turning point.

#3: Record stock rally to continue as funds chase performance

There are a million and one different reasons as to why this rally should continue. Indefinitely. Yet, it is important to be aware of one simple fact. When everyone agrees and when everyone is on one side of the trade, markets tend to shift gears and reverse course.

The points above are presented for your consideration in order to illustrate how incredibly bullish everyone is. The bears have been decimated, the bulls are in control and no one expects this market to go down. That is to say……BEWARE…..instead of counting on this never ending bull market, it might be an opportune time to lock in your gains (if any).   

This conclusion is further supported by my mathematical and timing work. It clearly shows a severe bear market between 2014-2017. In fact, when it starts it will very quickly retrace most of the gains accrued over the last few years.  If you would be interested in learning when the bear market of 2014-2017 will start (to the day) and its internal composition, please CLICK HERE

(***Please Note: Due to my obligations to my Subscribers I am unable to provide you with more exact forecasts. In fact, I am being “Wishy Washy” at best with my FREE daily updates here. If you would be interested in exact forecasts, dates, times and precise daily coverage, please Click Here). Daily Stock Market Update. November 14th, 2014 InvestWithAlex.com

Did you enjoy this article? If so, please share our blog with your friends as we try to get traction. Gratitude!!!

Is Time To Lock In Your Gains? Google

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Investment Wisdom Of The Day

tudor jones“Were you want to be is always in control, never wishing, always trading, and always, first and foremost protecting your butt. After a while size means nothing. It gets back to whether you’re making 100% rate of return on $10,000 or $100 million dollars. It doesn’t make any difference.” – Paul Tudor Jones

z33

Investment Wisdom Of The Day  Google

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What Would Jesus Invest In?

daily chart ANovember 11 2014

11/12/2014 – A mixed day with the Dow Jones down 3 points (-0.01%) and the Nasdaq up 14 points (+0.31%). 

The easiest trade to make in today’s market is to go long. It’s a no-brainer and you can buy just about anything as the Dow hasn’t suffered a 100 point correction (even Intraday) in over 20 trading days. Most bears have been decimated and most bulls are coming out of the woodwork to once again make ballsy predictions. Case and point…….

Rather than debating fundamental aspects of today’s rally, let’s take a closer look at a much more important variable. Market/investor psychology. Oftentimes it is the most difficult trade to make that ends up being the correct one. That is to say, when everyone ends up on one side of the market, as today, the market tends to move the other way. Luckily, I don’t have to go further than 8 trading weeks to prove my point.

  • Case #1: September 19th, 2014 Top. Market’s psychological backdrop was not that dissimilar to today. All time highs, never ending rally, Santa Claus rally is just around the corner and other BS. No one expected a massive decline that ensued. We went short on September 24th.
  • Case #2: October 14th,  2014 Bottom. Most people were either freaking out or shorting the crap out of the market. No one was bullish. Everyone and their day trading grand mother were predicting a market crash. I was looking for a bottom. All shorts were covered on October 16th in preparation to go long. 

Point being, when everyone begins to believe that the market cannot go down (as today), it is time to seriously consider the other side of the trade. To play a devil’s advocate. You know….to do some soul searching and to ask if Jesus would go long or short this market. Not to do so is not only dangerous, but is often the reason why so very few people can consistently make money in the market.

This conclusion is further supported by my mathematical and timing work. It clearly shows a severe bear market between 2014-2017. In fact, when it starts it will very quickly retrace most of the gains accrued over the last few years.  If you would be interested in learning when the bear market of 2014-2017 will start (to the day) and its internal composition, please CLICK HERE

(***Please Note: Due to my obligations to my Subscribers I am unable to provide you with more exact forecasts. In fact, I am being “Wishy Washy” at best with my FREE daily updates here. If you would be interested in exact forecasts, dates, times and precise daily coverage, please Click Here). Daily Stock Market Update. November 12th, 2014 InvestWithAlex.com

Did you enjoy this article? If so, please share our blog with your friends as we try to get traction. Gratitude!!!

What Would Jesus Invest In Google

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Investment Wisdom Of The Day

charles munger “If you took our top fifteen decisions out, we’d have a pretty average record. It wasn’t hyperactivity, but a hell of a lot of patience. You stuck to your principles and when opportunities came along, you pounced on them with vigor.” — Charles Munger 

Z31

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Stock Market Rally: Bull Trap Or A Rocket Ship To Prosperity?

daily chart ANovember 11 2014

 11/11/2014 – A positive day with the Dow Jones up 2 points (+0.01%) and the Nasdaq up 9 points (+0.19%) 

The market continues to perform exactly as anticipated. If you would like to find out what happens next, please click here. Another set of important market articles worth your time.

The rally from October 14th bottom has been nothing short of astonishing. I would have to double check my Dow data, but I believe this rally has been in the top 5 of all time (since 1790) in terms of % gain over the last 20 trading days. Yet, I would have to side with the articles above. At the end of the day this powerful run up might be nothing more than a perfect bull trap.

One of the easiest and low tech ways to predict the future movement of the stock market is to watch out for open gaps. Not always, but in 90-95% of the time all markets eventually move to close open gaps.  And while the time frames for such closures differ, the outcome is almost always the same.

Why is this important? Well, all indices left at least 3-4 massive up gaps from October 14th low. Lowest one on the Dow being at 16,100. Suggesting that the Dow is likely to re-test this level within a relatively short period of time. Perhaps much sooner than most people believe. A simple fact that gives much more credence to the articles above.

This conclusion is further supported by my mathematical and timing work. It clearly shows a severe bear market between 2014-2017. In fact, when it starts it will very quickly retrace most of the gains accrued over the last few years.  If you would be interested in learning when the bear market of 2014-2017 will start (to the day) and its internal composition, please CLICK HERE

(***Please Note: Due to my obligations to my Subscribers I am unable to provide you with more exact forecasts. In fact, I am being “Wishy Washy” at best with my FREE daily updates here. If you would be interested in exact forecasts, dates, times and precise daily coverage, please Click Here). Daily Stock Market Update. November 11th, 2014 InvestWithAlex.com

Did you enjoy this article? If so, please share our blog with your friends as we try to get traction. Gratitude!!!

Stock Market Rally: Bull Trap Or A Rocket Ship To Prosperity? Google

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Top 0.1% Of Wealthiest Americans Have More Than Bottom 90%. Pitchforks Coming???

daily chart ANovember 10 2014

11/10/2014 – An up day with the Dow Jones up 40 points (+0.23%) and the Nasdaq up 19 points (+0.41%). 

The stock market continues to behave just as anticipate. If you would like to find out what happens next, please Click Here. In the meantime, a number of important articles you should be aware of…

To quickly summarize, the US Economic miracle is nothing more than a smoke screen perpetuated by the FED intervention and its massive infusion of credit. And that has lead to fake growth, fake money, fake jobs, fake financial stability and overvalued/fake stock market. That should not shock anyone reading this blog.

One of the most disturbing side effects of the FED intervention is the destruction of the American middle class for the benefit of a very few. A gradual, yet accelerating pattern that has been in play since the financial crisis of 1998. Thanks Greenspan!!!

Unfortunately, no economy can function properly when the top 0.1% or 5% or 10% control 95-100% of national wealth. That is to say, should this trend continue the US is a stone throws away from turning into a Banana Republic.

Will pitchforks ever come out???

I wouldn’t bet on it. The American populous is more interested in what happens on the next episode of The Biggest Loser than the overall state of the US Economy. And if 2009 financial crisis didn’t change that, nothing will.  As a result, all we can do now is trade this market and profit from it.

This conclusion is further supported by my mathematical and timing work. It clearly shows a severe bear market between 2014-2017. In fact, when it starts it will very quickly retrace most of the gains accrued over the last few years.  If you would be interested in learning when the bear market of 2014-2017 will start (to the day) and its internal composition, please CLICK HERE

(***Please Note: Due to my obligations to my Subscribers I am unable to provide you with more exact forecasts. In fact, I am being “Wishy Washy” at best with my FREE daily updates here. If you would be interested in exact forecasts, dates, times and precise daily coverage, please Click Here). Daily Stock Market Update. November 10th, 2014 InvestWithAlex.com

 

Did you enjoy this article? If so, please share our blog with your friends as we try to get traction. Gratitude!!!

Top 0.1% Of Wealthiest Americans Have More Than Bottom 90%. Pitchforks Coming??? Google

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Will The Bull Market Continue?

daily chart ANovember 13 2014

11/13/2014 – An up day with the Dow Jones up 41 points (+0.23%) and the Nasdaq up 5 points (+0.11%) 

Throughout the year this blog has been overwhelmingly bearish. Not because I am a bear, but rather, this stance is solely based on the fact that my mathematical and timing work clearly points to a bear market of 2014-2017. Despite all of that, the market continues to trend higher. So, to shift gears and to take a look at the other side of the coin, lets consider today’s higher highs.

The case for a bull market is fairly straight forward……..

  • Most technical indicators have turned positive.
  • The advance/decline line has turned up.
  • The number of new 52-week highs has been expending.
  • The Dow Theory continues to confirm a bull market.
  • Most markets are at an all time high.
  • Seasonality suggests that the bull market will continue.
  • Republicans will bring business back. Presidential cycle suggests up markets.
  • Oil prices are falling and that’s great for the overall economy.
  • Corporate earnings are great, unemployment is low, fundamentals are good, confidence is up, etc……
  • Oh and I almost forgot, everyone will get a Ferrari along with a massive tax return in early 2015.

If all of the facts above don’t make you want to pawn your left kidney and buy every stock under the sun, I don’t what will.

My response is………..so what? 

All of the above is already well know and discounted by the market. As I have suggested so many times before, market moves according to its own mathematical points of force, not fundamental data. Consider the following. Most of the bullish points above were just as relevant on September 19th as they are today. Yet, the stock market proceeded to top out and then decline close to 10% in a matter 3 short weeks.

That is to say, don’t for a second believe that this market cannot decline into the end of the year. Perhaps even faster than it just came up. If you would like to find out what happens next, please click on the link below.

This conclusion is further supported by my mathematical and timing work. It clearly shows a severe bear market between 2014-2017. In fact, when it starts it will very quickly retrace most of the gains accrued over the last few years.  If you would be interested in learning when the bear market of 2014-2017 will start (to the day) and its internal composition, please CLICK HERE

(***Please Note: Due to my obligations to my Subscribers I am unable to provide you with more exact forecasts. In fact, I am being “Wishy Washy” at best with my FREE daily updates here. If you would be interested in exact forecasts, dates, times and precise daily coverage, please Click Here). Daily Stock Market Update. November 7th, 2014 InvestWithAlex.com

Did you enjoy this article? If so, please share our blog with your friends as we try to get traction. Gratitude!!!

Will The Bull Market Continue? Google

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Investment Wisdom Of The Day

george-soros-investwithalex“Economic history is a never-ending series of episodes based on falsehoods and lies, not truths. It represents the path to big money. The object is to recognize the trend whose premise is false, ride that trend and step off before it is discredited.” ~ George Soros

z33

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Investment Wisdom Of The Day

warren_buffet“Wide diversification is only required when investors do not understand what they are doing.” – Warren Buffett

In the beginning, diversification is relevant. Once you’ve gotten your feet wet and have confidence in your investments, you can adjust your portfolio accordingly and make bigger bets.

z33

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Unstoppable Stock Market Or Time To Short?

daily chart ANovember 5 2014

11/5/2014 – A mixed day with the Dow Jones up 100 points (+0.58%) and the Nasdaq down 3 points (-0.06%)

According to most technical indicators the time is now right to pawn your liver and to go long this market. The bulls have won. In fact, forget about 2014. According to most market pundits it’s a done deal and we are now better off wondering how great 2015 will be. Why 2015 may also be a good year for stocks

Perhaps. I hate to be a party pooper, but it was just 15 trading days ago that most investors were freaking out about a possible market crash as they were looking down the abyss of never ending market decline. I know…..I know…..we are setting higher highs and the bearish pattern that the market had set in October is now in void.

Is it? That is to say, don’t be so fast to celebrate.  As I have suggested before, today’s rally has all of the trademarks of a bear market rally (incredibly fast, low volume, massive gaps, etc).  In other words, the jury is still out. The market can decline, even collapse, just as fast it rallied over the last 15 days. Only one thing is certain, today’s market setup is incredibly complex. As a matter of fact, if you would like to find out if you should leverage into a long position now or short the living crap out of this market, please Click Here.   

This conclusion is further supported by my mathematical and timing work. It clearly shows a severe bear market between 2014-2017. In fact, when it starts it will very quickly retrace most of the gains accrued over the last few years.  If you would be interested in learning when the bear market of 2014-2017 will start (to the day) and its internal composition, please CLICK HERE

(***Please Note: Due to my obligations to my Subscribers I am unable to provide you with more exact forecasts. In fact, I am being “Wishy Washy” at best with my FREE daily updates here. If you would be interested in exact forecasts, dates, times and precise daily coverage, please Click Here). Daily Stock Market Update. November 5th, 2014 InvestWithAlex.com

Did you enjoy this article? If so, please share our blog with your friends as we try to get traction. Gratitude!!!

Unstoppable Stock Market Or Time To Short? Google