11/24/2014 – A positive day with the Dow Jones up 7 points (+0.04%) and the Nasdaq up 42 points (+0.89%)

As far as most people and financial professionals are concerned 2014 is a done deal.  The gains are in the bag and the fiscal 2015 should be at least just as profitable. Yet, with the S&P already approaching its Goldman Sachs’s 2015 target of 2,100 one important question remains.

Is everyone celebrating too early? 

After all, we have about 25 trading days left in the year and it would take the Dow half this long to fall below its year open or worse, to test its October lows. Impossible? Nothing is impossible when it comes to financial markets. And even thought Decembers are typically net favorable, there are no rules to prevent a substantial decline here.

Particularly, when you take today’s extreme overvaluation and bullish sentiment levels into consideration. That is to say, no one should consider this year over until the closing bell rings on December 31st.

This conclusion is further supported by my mathematical and timing work. It clearly shows a severe bear market between 2014-2017. In fact, when it starts it will very quickly retrace most of the gains accrued over the last few years.  If you would be interested in learning when the bear market of 2014-2017 will start (to the day) and its internal composition, please CLICK HERE

(***Please Note: Due to my obligations to my Subscribers I am unable to provide you with more exact forecasts. In fact, I am being “Wishy Washy” at best with my FREE daily updates here. If you would be interested in exact forecasts, dates, times and precise daily coverage, please Click Here). Daily Stock Market Update. November 24th, 2014 InvestWithAlex.com

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Too Soon To Celebrate? Google

11/21/2014 – An up day with the Dow Jones up 89 points (+0.50%) and the Nasdaq up 11 points (+0.24%).

We live in interesting financial/investment times. I’ll bet you my left kidney, actually no, make that both of my kidneys, that just 10 years ago a surprise rate cut or QE by either China/Japan/EU/US would not have been viewed as a positive development. On the contrary, it would have been viewed as a terrible economic development that would warrant a massive sell-off as opposed to a rally we saw today.

Welcome to the twilight investment world where central banks can simply print their way to prosperity and where the bad news is viewed as “great” news.  But as we all know, that only works until the markets decide to collapse from their bubble valuation and excessive speculation levels. It is never different.

How close are we to that juncture? Consider a small sample of today’s media reports……..

• Dow 20,000 and how we’ll get there
• Here’s how Apple gets to $1 trillion
• Don’t get carried away by rising stocks

That is to say, today’s market conditions are about as bullish as they can get. There are no bears left and everyone expects this market to go up. Yet, when stocks are selling at incredible valuations levels (reminiscent of 2000 and 2007 tops) and when people start forecasting outlandish metrics, typically, the top is not that far behind.

I will leave you this week with a quote from non other than Warren Buffett as the time to be fearful might be at hand…..“Be Fearful When Others Are Greedy and Greedy When Others Are Fearful”. 

This conclusion is further supported by my mathematical and timing work. It clearly shows a severe bear market between 2014-2017. In fact, when it starts it will very quickly retrace most of the gains accrued over the last few years.  If you would be interested in learning when the bear market of 2014-2017 will start (to the day) and its internal composition, please CLICK HERE

(***Please Note: Due to my obligations to my Subscribers I am unable to provide you with more exact forecasts. In fact, I am being “Wishy Washy” at best with my FREE daily updates here. If you would be interested in exact forecasts, dates, times and precise daily coverage, please Click Here). Daily Stock Market Update. November 21st, 2014 InvestWithAlex.com

Did you enjoy this article? If so, please share our blog with your friends as we try to get traction. Gratitude!!!

Welcome To Investment La-La Land Google

11/17/2014 – A mixed day with the Dow Jones up 13 points (+0.07%) and the Nasdaq down 17 points (-0.37%). 

A number of interesting articles for your consideration.

• ‘Red warning lights’ flashing for global economy

• Markets ‘living on borrowed time’: Wilbur Ross

One and the same as I am still trying to figure out why our Nobel Prize winning economists (aka financial charlatans) can’t figure this out.  Japan falling back into an “official” recession despite its market pushing to a 6-year high is a clear indication of that.

It is rather simple. Today’s markets and most western economies are out of sync with reality, overpriced, driven by cheap credit and destructive FED policies. Everyone knows that. The more important question is……. where would our markets be, for instance, if the stimulus is withdrawn and fiscally conservative policies of the late 1990’s are reintroduced?

Would the Dow find itself at 15,000 or 10,000 or maybe even 5,000?  One thing is for sure. It wouldn’t be sitting at today’s levels.

That is why I tend to agree with Wilbur Ross. Sooner or later the stimulus money runs out, speculative spirits vanish into thin air, credit velocity slows and financial markets fall right back to where they are supposed to be. To their natural level of equilibrium. I think we are about to find out exactly how that plays out and where that level is.

This conclusion is further supported by my mathematical and timing work. It clearly shows a severe bear market between 2014-2017. In fact, when it starts it will very quickly retrace most of the gains accrued over the last few years.  If you would be interested in learning when the bear market of 2014-2017 will start (to the day) and its internal composition, please CLICK HERE

(***Please Note: Due to my obligations to my Subscribers I am unable to provide you with more exact forecasts. In fact, I am being “Wishy Washy” at best with my FREE daily updates here. If you would be interested in exact forecasts, dates, times and precise daily coverage, please Click Here). Daily Stock Market Update. November 17th, 2014 InvestWithAlex.com

Did you enjoy this article? If so, please share our blog with your friends as we try to get traction. Gratitude!!!

Where Would The Dow Be Without The FED Intervention? Google