10/22/2014 – A negative day with the Dow Jones down 153 points (-0.92%) and the Nasdaq down 37 points (-0.83%). 

The market continues to perform exactly as anticipated. In the meantime, most people believe the correction is over. After October dip, stocks may be ready for a rip.  A quick summary:

In 11 past years, the S&P has hit a 12-month high in September before correcting at least 5 percent from that high at some point in October, according to Jason Goepfert of SentimenTrader. Goepfert went on to find that in the Novembers that followed, the S&P had a positive month in eight of 11 times. Even more impressive, the market was positive through December in 10 of 11 years, gaining at least 3 percent in each year besides the infamous 1929.

Again, the analysis above is idiotic. Anyone who makes investment decisions based on the above is bound to lose a lot of money. It is as simple as that.

Instead…. consider the following. 

• The stock market is incredibly overpriced. By most valuation metrics. With some valuations pushing 2007 and 2000 (nasdaq) tops.
• The 5 year bull market cycle is now over.
• We are still in a 17 year secular bear market that started in 2000. The last 2-3 years are always down.
• There are no bears left. Everyone has capitulated.
• Bulls see every 5-10% correction as a buying opportunity of a lifetime. Like today.
• The FED is tightening and any remaining QE velocity is collapsing.
• Massive divergences. Particularly with the bond market.
• Smart investors like Icahn, Soros, Faber, Rogers are shorting this market.
• Etc….I can list another 20 points, but you get the idea.

Still think the Dow will be 20,000 by the end of the year? Yeah……good luck with that.

This conclusion is further supported by my mathematical and timing work. It clearly shows a severe bear market between 2014-2017. In fact, when it starts it will very quickly retrace most of the gains accrued over the last few years.  If you would be interested in learning when the bear market of 2014-2017 will start (to the day) and its internal composition, please CLICK HERE

(***Please Note: Due to my obligations to my Subscribers I am unable to provide you with more exact forecasts. In fact, I am being “Wishy Washy” at best with my FREE daily updates here. If you would be interested in exact forecasts, dates, times and precise daily coverage, please Click Here). Daily Stock Market Update. October 22nd, 2014 InvestWithAlex.com 

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The Shocking Truth Behind Today’s Stock Market Google

10/21/2014 – A strong up day with the Dow Jones up 214 points (+1.30%) and the Nasdaq up 103 points (+2.40%).

Oftentimes people make simplistic comparisons in the stock market and assume that their analysis is top notch. That is a very dangerous game to play. Case and point, this MarketWatch article claims that the market is repeating the pattern from 4-years ago. The deja-vu selloff is reaching a ‘crisis bottom’: McClellan

Why 4 years? I have no idea. I have studied every cycle under the sun and I can assure you that there is no 4 year cycle in the stock market. They might as well have picked out any similar pattern, even from 100 years ago, in order to claim the pattern is repeating. This is a fools game. If there is no fixed methodology to support cyclical breakdown, such cycles should not be used.

Of course, the underlying notion is that a 10% selloff is somehow indicative of a major bull market rally to come. I can’t tell you how many times I have heard that the bottom is in, the Santa Claus rally is coming and the FED’s will never let the market fall before the election/Christmas.

The roots of the recent stock market selloff look very familiar to investment newsletter writer Tom McClellan, and that’s making him very bullish.

Perhaps it is as simple as that. Yet, maybe…..just maybe, the pattern from 4 years ago has nothing to do with the stock market of today. And instead of getting a rally towards the end of the year, Bad Santa might play a cruel joke on your portfolio. Did you ever consider that? If you would be interested in finding out what happens next, please Click Here. 

This conclusion is further supported by my mathematical and timing work. It clearly shows a severe bear market between 2014-2017. In fact, when it starts it will very quickly retrace most of the gains accrued over the last few years.  If you would be interested in learning when the bear market of 2014-2017 will start (to the day) and its internal composition, please CLICK HERE

(***Please Note: Due to my obligations to my Subscribers I am unable to provide you with more exact forecasts. In fact, I am being “Wishy Washy” at best with my FREE daily updates here. If you would be interested in exact forecasts, dates, times and precise daily coverage, please Click Here). Daily Stock Market Update. October 21st, 2014 InvestWithAlex.com 

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Did We Hit A “Crisis” Bottom On October 14th? Google

10/17/2014 – A strong up day with the Dow Jones up 263 points (+1.63%) and the Nasdaq up 41 points (+0.97%). 

The stock market continues to perform exactly as anticipated. In fact, yesterday I instructed my subscribers to cover our short positions. Here is the snippet from our Intraday update. If you would like to know what happens next, Click Here. Trust me…..you need to know.

Intraday Update: October 16th, 2014:  ***** PM. Considering where the market is I will cover now and ******.This would give us a very good exit point and *****. etc….. ****- information not available in the free forum

Now, let’s get to Stupidity Olympics: FED Vs. IMF

Fed official wants to keep up QE as inflation expectations slip

Well, that was fast. Throughout 2014 I have argued that not only will the FED not raise interest rates, they will be re-introducing QE as soon as the stock market tanks. With one minor difference as compared to 2007-2009. They can’t cut interest rates (there is nothing to cut) and the velocity of any money/QE is now exhausted. In other words, the FED has already used their Bazooka.

What I didn’t realize is that it would take an insignificant drop of just 1,500 points on the Dow to bring the topic back up for discussion. Sheer stupidity.

IMF: Market Sell-off May Have Been ‘Over-Reaction’

There are a number of things to consider here. From what I have seen, the IMF would not know anything about financial markets. Even if financial markets walked up and hit them in the face. If there was ever an organization that was formed solely for wasting taxpayers money (remember Greece and Cyprus), IMF is it. Second, when the EU Bureaucrats/IMF tell you not to panic…..you know what to do……..PANIC. Better yet, short everything in sight.

I cannot wait for an explanation Christine Lagarde will deliver at the market bottom. I fathom something along the lines of “No one could have seen it coming”. Lunacy.

Yet, the Gold Medal clearly goes to…….

And while the IMF and the FED came in dead heat,  the gold medal clearly goes to the Obama Administration for dropping the ball on Ebola, Syria, Iraq, ISIS, etc…. and for working overtime on trying to start a nuclear war with Russia. Have a good weekend everyone.

This conclusion is further supported by my mathematical and timing work. It clearly shows a severe bear market between 2014-2017. In fact, when it starts it will very quickly retrace most of the gains accrued over the last few years.  If you would be interested in learning when the bear market of 2014-2017 will start (to the day) and its internal composition, please CLICK HERE

(***Please Note: Due to my obligations to my Subscribers I am unable to provide you with more exact forecasts. In fact, I am being “Wishy Washy” at best with my FREE daily updates here. If you would be interested in exact forecasts, dates, times and precise daily coverage, please Click Here). Daily Stock Market Update. October 17th, 2014 InvestWithAlex.com

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Stupidity Olympics: FED Vs. IMF Google

10/16/2014 – A mixed day with the Dow Jones down 25 points (-0.15%) and the Nasdaq up 2 points (+0.05%) 

Here is what most people get wrong about today’s stock market. Why this stock-market meltdown won’t hurt you

But for a majority of Americans who don’t own more than a few shares of stock, the impact of the market selloff should be limited. The meltdown on Wall Street isn’t likely to crash the economy of Main Street.

I am not sure how many times I have to repeat the same thing, but it is the stock market that leads the Economy and not the other way around. Of course people have to worry about today’s stock market. Should the sell off continue or worse yet, a crash to occur, it would be months (if not weeks) before the Economy hits the skids in a major way.

This has always been the case. I have already analyzed the 2007 top in great detail and how it was the stock market that led to an eventual Economic recession/depression. In fact, you can look at any market top and find the same thing. It can be 1929, 1937, 1966, 1972, 1987, 2000, etc… It takes the economy 6-12 months to follow the market.

In other words, you should be worried of today’s market decline. Should it continue, there will be hell to pay on the economic front as well. Imagine 2009 recession and you have a fairly good picture of where we are heading.

This conclusion is further supported by my mathematical and timing work. It clearly shows a severe bear market between 2014-2017. In fact, when it starts it will very quickly retrace most of the gains accrued over the last few years.  If you would be interested in learning when the bear market of 2014-2017 will start (to the day) and its internal composition, please CLICK HERE

(***Please Note: Due to my obligations to my Subscribers I am unable to provide you with more exact forecasts. In fact, I am being “Wishy Washy” at best with my FREE daily updates here. If you would be interested in exact forecasts, dates, times and precise daily coverage, please Click Here). Daily Stock Market Update. October 15th, 2014 InvestWithAlex.com

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The Biggest Misconception About The Stock Market & Economy Google