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Market Tanks. InvestWithAlex Delivers Massive Returns.

daily chart AOctober 15 2014

10/15/2014 – A big down day with the Dow Jones down 173 points (-1.06%) and the Nasdaq down 12 points (0.28%). 

The market continues to behave just as forecasted/anticipated. What’s next? A bounce or a crash? CLICK HERE to find out.

People thought I was crazy on two occasions so far this year.

First, on January 4th, 2014, when I liquidated all of my long stock holdings and put most of my portfolio into a 10-Year Note at 3.01%. If you are not paying attention, this trade has been the best performing trade so far this year. Especially now that the Nasdaq has cratered. If you don’t recall, here is why (my thesis remains the same).

  • The FED will not raise rates. They will be reintroducing the QE once a bear market kicks in.
  • No 30 year bear market in yields will end without a double bottom. In other words, 10-Year Note will re-test 1.5% at the bottom of a bear market.
  • Mathematical and timing work shows a clear bear market.

Second, I told my subscribers to start initiating their short positions on September 24th. Just a few days after an all time high on the Dow. Why? Based on my mathematical and timing work. Don’t get me wrong. I am not celebrating or trying to rub this in your face, yet there is only so many times I can warn people that a bear market of 2014-2017 is coming without sounding like a broken record.

Luckily, subscribers who followed my advice were not only able to avoid massive losses (thus far), but to profit from the decline. It is my hope that you can join us for the next move. Finally, I don’t just BS, I trade my own forecasts as our member section so clearly shows.  Again, if you would like to find out what’s next…..a massive bounce or a crash…..CLICK HERE. 

This conclusion is further supported by my mathematical and timing work. It clearly shows a severe bear market between 2014-2017. In fact, when it starts it will very quickly retrace most of the gains accrued over the last few years.  If you would be interested in learning when the bear market of 2014-2017 will start (to the day) and its internal composition, please CLICK HERE

(***Please Note: Due to my obligations to my Subscribers I am unable to provide you with more exact forecasts. In fact, I am being “Wishy Washy” at best with my FREE daily updates here. If you would be interested in exact forecasts, dates, times and precise daily coverage, please Click Here). Daily Stock Market Update. October 15th, 2014 InvestWithAlex.com

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Market Tanks. InvestWithAlex Delivers Massive Returns. Google

Crashing Oil. War On Russia Or It’s The Economy Stupid

daily chart AOctober 14 2014

10/14/2014 – A mixed day with the Dow Jones down 5 points (+0.03%) and the Nasdaq up 13 points (+0.32%)  

The stock market continues to perform as anticipated. If you would be interested in learning what’s coming up next (crash or bounce), please Click Here. 

Over the last couple of days a few people had asked me about the oil market/prices and what is causing today’s massive decline. The US Economy or something else.

oil

While I don’t trade or analyse oil, here are my 2 cents for what it’s worth.

Current slowdown in the global economy is definitely to blame. The US stock market is in the bubble territory, suggesting a massive global recession ahead. I think the oil market is starting to wake up to that.

Yet, I believe there is much more to the story. As you very well know the US Administration and their Saudi Friends are furious with Russia/Putin over Ukraine and Syria. Since economic sanctions did nothing but surge Putin’s approval rating in Russia, it is quite possible that a coordinated effort is in play to collapse/crash the oil prices. As lower oil prices would be the only thing that can have a severe negative impact on Russia and/or Putin.

Make no mistake, the US Administration is waging an all out cold war against Russia. One thing is certain, it will end very badly for all parties.

In terms of the stock market…… my mathematical and timing work clearly shows a severe bear market between 2014-2017. In fact, when it starts it will very quickly retrace most of the gains accrued over the last few years.  If you would be interested in learning when the bear market of 2014-2017 will start (to the day) and its internal composition, please CLICK HERE

(***Please Note: Due to my obligations to my Subscribers I am unable to provide you with more exact forecasts. In fact, I am being “Wishy Washy” at best with my FREE daily updates here. If you would be interested in exact forecasts, dates, times and precise daily coverage, please Click Here). Daily Stock Market Update. October 14th, 2014 InvestWithAlex.com

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Crashing Oil. War On Russia Or It’s The Economy Stupid Google

Are We In A Bear Market Now?

daily chart AOctober 13 2014

10/13/2014 – Another big down day with the Dow Jones down 223 points (-1.35%) and the Nasdaq down 63 points (-1.46%)  

The stock market continues to develop exactly as anticipated or forecasted. Plus, our execution has been flawless. Click Here To Learn More. 

Just a quick snippet from our Intraday update. October 13th, 2014: 1:30 PM EST: All markets are forming a triangle that will resolve in the next 60 minutes. The market will either break out ******. At which juncture I will ********* or it will break down.  The Dow didn’t complete to the downside *******.  Maintain short position and *******.  *****-not available in free forum.

Everyone and their day trading grandmother is trying to figure out what’s going on. In our over the weekend update we have looked at the case for a market crash (see below). Today, let’s take a look at the case for a bounce.  Stocks to rally after 10% correction: Pro

Excuse me?

Exactly 10%? Which index? Or will it be 5.7%…..7.2%….11.01%, etc..??? Foolish. Listen, the case for a near term bounce is fairly straight forward. The market is oversold and people are freaking out.  Plus, most markets are sitting at important support levels and with most indices having more up gaps than a pound of Swiss cheese, a possible bounce might develop soon.

With that said, the case for a market crash here remains just as compelling. Luckily, our subscribers know exactly WHEN the market will bounce or accelerate to the downside and what action to take in each case. If you are tired of flying blind, tired of losses/volatility and would like to know what the market will do next, please Click Here.

This conclusion is further supported by my mathematical and timing work. It clearly shows a severe bear market between 2014-2017. In fact, when it starts it will very quickly retrace most of the gains accrued over the last few years.  If you would be interested in learning when the bear market of 2014-2017 will start (to the day) and its internal composition, please CLICK HERE

(***Please Note: Due to my obligations to my Subscribers I am unable to provide you with more exact forecasts. In fact, I am being “Wishy Washy” at best with my FREE daily updates here. If you would be interested in exact forecasts, dates, times and precise daily coverage, please Click Here). Daily Stock Market Update. October 13th, 2014 InvestWithAlex.com

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Are We In A Bear Market Now? Google

Buy Low, Sell High, Go Short & Cover Finale

stock market cycle

Continuation from Friday……..(Buy Low, Sell High, Go Short & Cover Summary)

Making the Buy Low, Sell High, Go Short & Cover approach the best investment strategy for all types of investors. For the following reasons.

Risk Reduction:

  • Through the purchase of undervalued securities.
  • Through knowing where in the cycle you are.
  • Though having the ability to be on both sides of the trade at appropriate times.

Maximizing Profits:

  • Through having the ability to profit from both sides of the move. Long and short.
  • Through purchasing undervalued securities with significant upside potential or shorting overvalued securities with a lot downside.
  • Through compressing anticipated gains into the shortest time frame possible.

A number of examples were provided to verify the strategy.  For instance, it was shown that the Buy & Hold investment strategy would yield a ROI of 525% between 1994 bottom and today through an investment in the Nasdaq. By comparison, the Buy Low, Sell High, Go Short & Cover investment strategy would yield a total compounded return of 8,015% during the same period of time. A final return that is 15 times higher than what most investors were able to achieve if they were lucky enough to hold on to their positions over the last 20 years.   Most importantly, this higher return was obtained while minimizing risk.

Finally, the strategy above can be applied towards most financial instruments and in all market conditions. Once investors determine exactly where they are in the overall cyclical composition of the move, top or bottom, they can initiate an appropriate position when the confirmation is obtained. Then move in and out as the strategy dictates.

The best part about the Buy Low, Sell High, Go Short & Cover investment strategy is the returns it offers. The two examples provided in this book are nothing but a scratch on the surface of what’s possible. If given more time and through proper application of the techniques described in this book, the returns on both investments should expand exponentially. And that’s just the start. Investors or traders that work with shorter time frames might be able to move in and out more frequently, compounding their returns even faster.

In conclusion, the approach presented in this book forces investors to move with the market and not against it. And that is contrary to what most investor tend to do. It is well known fact that most investors tend to pile in right at the top or when they feel the most optimistic, only to liquidate their positions near the bottom.  Our Buy Low, Sell High, Go Short & Cover investment strategy forces investors to do exactly the opposite. It forces them to move with the market at all times and in all market conditions.  Minimizing the risk and guaranteeing outsized returns in the process.

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Buy Low, Sell High, Go Short & Cover Finale Google

A Crash Or Will This Bounce Continue…..What’s Next?

daily chart AOctober 24 2014

10/24/2014 – Another up day with the Dow Jones up 128 points (+0.77%) and the Nasdaq up 31 points (+0.69%)

When the market hit bottom on October 15th, I told my subscribers to cover their short positions and to go long as soon as the reversal confirmation was obtained. That confirmation arrived the following day and as you can imagine we have benefited greatly on the long side. Yet, the main question remains…….what’s next…….will the market crash or will it bounce? You can find the exact answer by CLICKING HERE. For now, lets discuss the case for a crash.

The Case For A Crash……

Over the last couple of months a lot of hoopla has been made about comparing 1982-1987 bull market (including the 1987 crash) to today’s stock market environment. Below is one of such charts for your consideration.

1987 crash

One of the primary things that people miss about these comparisons is the time frame associated with such moves. For instance, the bull market between August 1982 bottom and August 1987 top lasted exactly 5 years. The bull market between March 6th, 2009 and today has been in existence for 5 years and 4 months. Making the comparison between 1987 top and 2014 top obsolete.

Great news…..right? Not really.

Today’s market matches another pattern and this pattern makes 1987 crash look like child’s play. Over the last 224 years (since the market first started trading in 1790) the market exhibited only ONE 5-Year uninterrupted bull market cycle that extended for 5 years and 4 months. The longest bull market cycle ever (when counted as a separate unit). That ONE pattern led right into the 1929 stock market crash.

To be more specific, the Dow set a secondary bottom in early May of 1924 and then went on a rampage bull market that terminated on September 3rd, 1929 (exact top). Again, exactly 5 years and 4 months later. Thereafter, the Dow distributed for 6 weeks before initiating its crash sequence on October 24, 1929. By November 13th, 1929 the Dow was down 49%. A devastating collapse.

Now, I know what you are thinking. “People were kind of dumb back then. The market was clearly in a speculative bubble and even a monkey with half a brain could have seen the 1929 crash coming from a mile away”.  WRONG. Human nature never changes. Case and point, I present to you probably the smartest and the wealthiest businessman who ever lived, Mr. John D. Rockeffeller (his net worth was over $200 Billion in today’s money).

October  30, 1929: The Dow Jones Industrial Average has one of its best days ever, rocketing up 29 points, or 12.3%, to 258 as John D. Rockefeller, Sr. announces: “There is nothing in the business situation to warrant the destruction of values that has taken place on the exchanges during the past week. My son and I have for some days been purchasing sound common stocks.” The Dow goes on to lose 84.1% more of its value before bottoming out on July 8, 1932.

I think his quote speaks for itself.  Just as in 1929, 99.99% of people today are not aware of where we are. Back to 2014. I have already beaten the fundamental/economic/market horse and today’s stock market overvaluation/speculation levels to death. Both, in my daily blog and in my weekly updates. If you need more information, please revisit my comprehensive report The Bear Market of 2014-2017 Is Starting. Why, How & When

With that said, my precise mathematical and timing analysis works on a completely different level. Instead of anticipating what will happen based on fundamental analysis or economic data, my work tells you exactly what will happen and most importantly, WHEN. Making technical, fundamental and economic analysis obsolete.

So, will we have a 1929 style crash over the next few months?  Unfortunately, such information is only available to my subscribers. Including the exact date of the 2014 market top and what will happen thereafter.

Think about it this way.  You really have two options.

  • You Decide To Ignore This Warning:  If the 1929 type of a crash does occur, you will lose 50% of your net worth in a matter of days.  By that point, it will be too late.  It won’t be too late to jump out of the window, but it will be too late to do anything about it.  And for what, to save $49 a month?
  • If You Are To Check Out My Member Section:  If the 1929 type of a crash does occur you will be able to

1. Avoid the crash, preserve your capital and buy stocks at giveaway prices.  
2. Make a fortune on the short side (if you trade on the short side). 

So, at the risk of sounding too salesy, I am beating this drum as hard as I can in order to warn as many people as I can. This newsletter service is not my primary source of income (not even close) and it won’t make one bit of a difference to me if you sign up.  Again, I am just trying to warn as many people as I can. So, what are you waiting for? Reserve your spot (limited space and we only have a few spots left for October) for your FREE 14-day trial today and check out our forecast. I cannot stress how incredibly important this update is. Trust me; the grandchildren of your grandchildren will thank me.

Important Announcement: It is highly probable that I will double the price of my service over the next 90-120 days while getting rid of the monthly subscription option. While this change does not impact existing subscribers (they are locked in for life), all new subscribers will have to pay at least $599/year. This change will happen fairly soon. In other words, if you have ever considered a subscription, the time to get in is NOW. 

MATHEMATICAL & TIMING ANALYSIS:  

(*** Please Note: The information within this section is only available to my premium subscribers. If you are a premium subscriber please Click Here to log in. If  you would be interested in becoming a subscriber and gaining access to the most accurate forecasting service available anywhere, a forecasting service that gives you exact turning points in both price and time, please Click Here to learn more and to reserve your spot.Don’t forget, we have a risk free 14-day trial).

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A Crash Or Will This Bounce Continue…..What’s Next?  Google

Buy Low, Sell High, Go Short & Cover Summary

stock market cycle

Continuation from yesterday…..(Why Warren Buffett Is Wrong About Trading In and Out)

Summary & Conclusion

We have started this book with a simple premise of trying to figure out which investment approach is the best. During the process we have looked at number of investment strategies most commonly associated with the industry. Including value investing, growth investing and various disciplines of active trading.  We have discussed short selling and why the process is not as risky as industry insiders make it out to be. Shortly thereafter and rather quickly we have arrived at a juncture where our priorities were clarified. At the end of the day, most investors want the following.

  • A massive capital gain.
  • In the shortest possible period of time.
  • While taking on very little, if any, risk.

Yet, most of the traditional investment strategies had failed in satisfying all three requirements. As it stands, most commonly practiced investment approaches concentrate on either risk minimization at the cost of ROI or higher returns at the risk of capital.  A new approach was needed.

The author introduced such an approach in the form of Buy Low, Sell High, Go Short and Cover investment strategy.

Although the strategy initially appeared to be complex and unattainable, in reality, it was straight forward and fairly easy to implement.  A simple set of rules was provided.

  • Rule #1: Buy Substantially Undervalued Securities (Minimizing Risks & Maximizing Returns).
  • Rule #2: Sell & Go Short When Technical and Timing Indicators Confirm (Trading)
  • Rule #3: Cover Your Short Positions & Go Long When Technical and Timing Indicators Confirm (Trading)
  • Rule #4: Know Exactly Where You Are At All Times.

In other words, follow the chart.

To Be Continued On Monday……

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Buy Low, Sell High, Go Short & Cover Summary Google

I Made My Fortune By Selling Too Early

daily chart AOctober 9 2014

10/9/2014 – A big down day with the Dow Jones down 335 points (-1.97%) and the Nasdaq down 90 points (-2.02%).

So, the guy below believes that the market will top out sometime in mid 2015. Why? No legitimate reason was given. In the meantime investors should continue to pile in. Well, at least according to the guy below and the talking head interviewing him. Perhaps they are right. But maybe, just maybe you should follow the advice of Baron Rothschild who so famously said “I made my fortune by selling too early”.

In other words, don’t be the last fool playing the game of musical chairs. 

This conclusion is further supported by my mathematical and timing work. It clearly shows a severe bear market between 2014-2017. In fact, when it starts it will very quickly retrace most of the gains accrued over the last few years.  If you would be interested in learning when the bear market of 2014-2017 will start (to the day) and its internal composition, please CLICK HERE

(***Please Note: Due to my obligations to my Subscribers I am unable to provide you with more exact forecasts. In fact, I am being “Wishy Washy” at best with my FREE daily updates here. If you would be interested in exact forecasts, dates, times and precise daily coverage, please Click Here). Daily Stock Market Update. October 9th, 2014 InvestWithAlex.com

Did you enjoy this article? If so, please share our blog with your friends as we try to get traction. Gratitude!!!

I Made My Fortune By Selling Too Early Google