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The End Of High Frequency Trading

Known as Wall Street’s dirty little secret and brought into the main street view by 60 Minutes on Sunday, high frequency era might be coming to an end. With recent FBI investigations into the practice and New York’s Attorney General Eric Schneiderman looking into lawsuits, it is just a matter of time before most high frequency trading operations are rendered unprofitable. Either through legal or regulatory channels. It’s about time. Now, what will the next chapter in Wall Street scamming the main street saga be? Perhaps mortgage backed IPOs? 

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The End Of High Frequency Trading  Google

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Bloomberg Writes: FBI Investigates High-Frequency Traders for Abuse of Information

Federal agents are investigating whether high-frequency trading firms violate U.S. laws by acting on nonpublic information to gain an edge over competitors.

The Federal Bureau of Investigation’s inquiry stems from a multiyear crackdown on insider trading, which has led to at least 79 convictions of hedge-fund traders and others. Agents are examining, for example, whether traders abuse information to act ahead of orders by institutional investors, according to an FBI spokesman. Even trades based on computer algorithms could amount to wire fraud, securities fraud or insider trading.

The FBI joins a roster of authorities examining high-frequency trading, in which firms typically use super-fast computers to post and cancel orders at rates measured in thousandths or even millionths of a second to capture price discrepancies.New York Attorney General Eric Schneiderman opened a broad investigation into whether U.S. stock exchanges and alternative venues give such traders improper advantages.

Regulators have focused for years on whether high-speed trading hurts market stability. More recent law enforcement investigations are shifting the focus to unfair practices and possible criminal activity.

Critics including some investors and regulators have said such trading, which captured the spotlight in the May 2010 flash crash that shook U.S. equities, serves little purpose, may distort the market and may leave individual shareholders at a disadvantage.

Services Scrutinized

Schneiderman is examining the sale of products and services that offer faster access to data and richer information on trades than what’s typically available to the public. Wall Street banks and rapid-fire trading firms pay thousands of dollars a month for these services from firms including Nasdaq OMX Group Inc. and IntercontinentalExchange Group Inc.’s New York Stock Exchange.

Robert Madden, a spokesman for Nasdaq, and Eric Ryan at the NYSE, declined to comment on the FBI’s inquiry. Jim Margolin, a spokesman for Manhattan U.S. Attorney Preet Bharara, declined to comment when asked if the office was looking at high-frequency trading.

The FBI began focusing on high-frequency traders last year, before Schneiderman disclosed his inquiry this month. Market regulators have asked for years whether new restrictions on rapid-fire trading were needed.

Daniel Hawke, the head of the Securities and Exchange Commission’s market-abuse unit, said in 2012 that the agency was examining practices such as co-location and rebates that exchanges pay to spur transactions. Last year, the Commodity Futures Trading Commission announced a review of speed trading and sought industry input.

Federal prosecutors have scored dozens of insider trading convictions in recent years, including several linked to SAC Capital Advisors LP, the hedge-fund firm run by Steven A. Cohen that is changing its name to Point72.

SAC agreed in November to pay a record $1.8 billion and plead guilty to securities fraud to settle allegations of insider trading. As part of the settlement, Cohen agreed to close SAC’s investment advisory business.

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Rejoice: Markets To Surge In April

There is no such thing as a sure bet in the market. Yet, it seems as if the WSJ found it. Simply go long in April and you are golden. The S&P 500 has averaged a 1.7% gain in April over the past 40 years, the best-performing month of the year, according to Schaeffer’s Investment Research. Yep, it’s that simple. 

The reality is, of course, a little bit different. While seasonality in the stock market does exist, it has nothing to do with “Monthly” time frames and has everything to do with cyclical composition of the market. One cannot safely assume that the stock market will move up or down based on what month it is. It just doesn’t work that way. It is the cyclical composition (some spanning for days while other spanning for decades) that determines what the stock market will do in the month of April. Simply put, anyone who follows such an idiotic WSJ premise and analysis will have their head handed to them. 

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WSJ Writes: Morning MoneyBeat: Bulls Rejoice for April

An uncertain economy, frothy valuations and a harsh winter have tested investors’ faith over the past three months. Fortunately for the bulls, the calendar flips to April, the hottest month of the year for U.S. stocks.

The S&P 500 has averaged a 1.7% gain in April over the past 40 years, the best-performing month of the year, according to Schaeffer’s Investment Research. The only other months that have averaged at least 1% gains are January, March, October and December. The S&P 500 rose 1.8% last April, which at the time was the market’s sixth straight monthly gain.

With the S&P 500 gaining 1.3% throughout the first three months of the year and sitting just 0.3% off last month’s highs, the question once again is just how much more momentum is behind the recent gains. Blindly assuming the rally will continue because it’s April might be a mistake, as slow earnings growth and the dialing back of stimulus from the Federal Reserve could crimp this month’s performance.

Once again, central-bank policy played a key role in the market’s recent performance. Fed Chairwoman Janet Yellen gave investors a fit at last month’s news conference when she signaled that rate increases might come sooner and be a touch more aggressive than originally expected.

“The Fed moved the conversation from stimulus ending to increasing interest rates, but after an initial negative impact the market accepted it,” said Howard Silverblatt, senior index analyst at S&P Dow Jones Indices, while noting an actual rate increase is seen as being at least a year away.

But stocks rallied Monday as Ms. Yellen said the U.S. economy still requires support from the central bank’s low interest-rate policy. The comments helped ease concerns that the Fed under the new chairwoman had plans to raise interest rates sooner than expected.

The focus now shifts to upcoming economic data and the start of earnings season next week.

Friday brings the March jobs report. The hope is this report will be free from any wintry-weather distortions that have hurt the economy over the past few months. Earnings, however, are unlikely to escape the impact of the bitter cold and snowy weather.

S&P 500 companies are expected to post a profit decline of 0.6% in the first quarter, according to FactSet, which would be the first drop in earnings since the third quarter of 2012. At the same time, many of these companies have issued profit warnings in near record numbers. Some 93 companies have warned that profits will fall short of forecasts, the second-highest overall number of companies issuing negative guidance on record, according to FactSet’s count.

A poor earnings season could keep a lid on this year’s rally.

“In the grand scheme of things and after such a powerful rally last year, the market really needs continued good news to go further from here,” said Wasif Latif, who helps manage $50 billion in assets as vice president of equity investments at USAA in San Antonio.

“The challenge is that we’re still in the backdrop of an overall anemic economic environment,” he added. “The market really needs that next level in the form of improving guidance of future earnings and revenue growth. We’re just not there yet.”

As the calendar turns to April, at least the stock bulls still have history on their side.

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Stock Market Update. March 31st, 2014. InvestWithAlex

 Daily Chart March 31, 2014 investwithalex

A strong up day with the Dow Jones up 135 points (0.82%) and the Nasdaq up 43 points (1.04%)

In Friday’s update I suggested that the DOW/Nasdaq are set for a significant bounce over the next few trading days. Further, the market continues to perform just as per our forecast (available in premium section). While consistent up days, all time highs and positive news continue, this never ending up drive higher is in the final stages of it’s development. If fact, this latest surge higher offers people with the perfect opportunity to liquidate most (if not all) of their long positions.

The bear market of 2014-2017 will start within a relatively short time window and when it does, it will quickly retrace most of the gains since February 5th low. If you would be interested in knowing exactly when this bear market will start (to the day) and it’s internal composition, please Click Here.  

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When Will The IPO Market Tank?

We have already discussed, a number of times before, why today’s IPO market bubble is reminiscent of the 2000 Nasdaq top (search IPO on the right side).  The question becomes, when will this IPO bubble pop? 

This is rather easy. As soon as the stock market breaks down and begins it’s bear market. Based on our timing and mathematical work that time will arrive shortly. Once the market breaks below 15,000, most of the animal spirits associated with “hot yet highly speculative” IPOs will go out the window. Just as it should. If you would be interested in learning when the bear market of 2014-2017 will start (to the day) and it’s internal composition, please Click Here.

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When Will The IPO Market Tank?  Google

When Will The IPO Market Tank Investwitalex

CNBC Writes:Good times roll for IPOs: How long will boom last?

This has been a record year so far for European stock market listings – traditionally a sign that a region’s economy has returned to health.

The average size of fundraisings in Europe this year so far is $259 million, the highest on record, according to Dealogic. With the region’s economy still growing at a relatively slow rate, this is not just about greater confidence in the economy.

(Read more: Is the IPO market in a bubble? )

“First, there was a strong amount of cash available for investors in equities,” Klaus Hessberger, co-head of ECM EMEA at JPMorgan, told CNBC. He advised on the $6.9 billion sale of UK government shares in Lloyds Banking Group, the biggest deal in the region so far in 2014.

“Second, IPOs need some preparation time, usually more than six months – so this was a reflection of a positive market from summer onwards. Third, U.S. equity money is still coming into Europe because of the continued lower interest rate environment and fourth, there was also cash raised for M&A.”

Plenty of action is also driven by private equity groups “clearing out aging investments from their portfolios,” as Maria Pinelli, Ernst & Young’s global vice-chair of strategic growth markets, pointed out. She thinks the first half of 2014 at least will continue to be a good year for the IPO market.

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Good times roll for IPOs: How long will boom last?

Jin Lee | Bloomberg | Getty Images

With all the cheap money in the system, bankers believe the IPO boom has further to run. There is pent-up demand and a number of appetizing companies waiting to come to the markets.

“There is still some way to go to capture all the liquidity,” as Hessberger said.

In Europe, Goldman Sachs is topping the leaderboard of advisors in terms of value of IPO deals completed, with a market share of 13.6 percent in this year’s deals so far, followed by JPMorgan (9.7 percent) and Deutsche Bank (9.4 percent).

However, it isn’t quite 2006 all over again at investment banks.

There are still risks to continued outperformance, such as worse economic performance, as Hessberger pointed out.

Some of the more recent listings have been less well received, such as Candy Crush game maker King Digital, whose shares fell by 16 percent on their debut. And the most recent Lloyds sale featured a greater discount than the last tranche sold by the UK government.

There are also suggestions that some banks are having to resort to different measures to get in on IPOs, such as observing stricter guidelines against working with particular clients’ competitors and even waiving fees to be listed as part of deals they didn’t work on for existing clients.

The M&A and debt markets have not recovered in the same way. Revenues for these kind of deals are down 6 percent for M&A, and 22 percent for debt capital markets globally, according to Dealogic figures.

While there are a number of big money deals like the Time Warner Cable purchase pushing up M&A figures, the actual number of deals is down 14% compared to 2013 at this point, making 2014 the slowest year-to-date period by number of deals since 2003, according to Thomson Reuters data.

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Yellen To Markets: Don’t Worry, I Will Print My Ass Off

After her disastrous debut just two weeks ago, in which Janet Yellen managed to crush market spirits to the tune of 200 points in 1 trading hour, today, we got a “better” version of herself that markets tend to love. Just as predicted on this blog. In fact, don’t expect to hear anything but “We will print and do whatever is necessary to keep this liquidity party going” moving forward. 

This, of course, relays into everything we have been saying about the economy, the unemployment and the future of interest rates (yield curve). Again, with the advent of the bear market of 2014-2017, the US Economy will find itself in a severe recession by the end of 2014. In such an environment, the FED will not be tightening anything. Counter to today’s popular believe they will be looking to re-inflate, infuse credit or cut in any way possible. The result? Much lower equity prices, compressed (perhaps inverted) yield curve, much higher unemployment rate and surging gold prices.  

Basically, exactly the opposite of what most of today’s market participants believe. If you would like to know exactly when the bear market of 2014-2017 will start (to the day), while setting the whole mess mentioned above in motion, please Click Here.   

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Yellen To Markets: Don’t Worry, I Will Print My Ass Off Google

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Reuters Writes: Yellen strongly defends easy Fed policies, cites labor slack

CHICAGO (Reuters) – Federal Reserve Chair Janet Yellen said on Monday the U.S. central bank’s “extraordinary” commitment to boosting the economy, especially the still struggling labor market, will be needed for some time to come.

Yellen, in her first public speech since becoming Fed chair two months ago, strongly defended the Fed’s policies of low interest rates and continued bond-buying, saying there remains “considerable” slack in the economy and job market.

“I think this extraordinary commitment is still needed and will be for some time, and I believe that view is widely shared by my fellow policy-makers at the Fed,” Yellen said at the 2014 National Interagency Community Reinvestment Conference

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The Dow Is Going To 50,000. Why not 100,000?

I really hate this sort of typical Wall Street BS reporting. (read full article below). 

  • Money got nowhere else to go.
  • Money will keep chasing stocks, blow off top still ahead.
  • Put a stop loss 25% below today’s levels.

WTF? Why stop at the DOW 50,000. Let’s keep going my friend. This is absolute garbage and nonsense. Disregarding all of the fundamental, technical and timing issues associated with the statements above……… if putting a stop loss 25% below today’s levels doesn’t make this advice obsolete, I don’t know what will. The bottom line is as follows, you can listen to this garbage and lose a lot of money or you can follow our work. 

As we have maintained for so long, the bear market of 2014-2017 is about to start. When it does, we will experience a very similar environment to what we have experienced between 2000 top and 2002 bottom (on the DOW). If you would be interested in learning exactly when this bear market will start (to the day) and it’s internal composition, please Click Here.  

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The Dow Is Going To 50,000.  Why not 100,000? Google

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Breakout Writes: The case for Dow 50,000(Watch Video) 

Today marks the official end of the first quarter of 2014 and most traders are happen to see it end. The S&P500 (^GSPC) managed to grind out gains but it took nerves of steel to effectively trade the gyrations. That’s one reason professional trader Tres Knippa takes the emotion out of it by staying long and rolling up his stop-losses.

It’s less that Knippa is “bullish” in the traditional sense of expecting improving fundamentals. He simply thinks the bubble is still in inflation mode.

“Money’s got no where else to go. A lot of people keeping talking about overvaluation. ‘The market has come too far too fast. I’ve missed the opportunity.’ I actually don’t think you’ve missed the opportunity.”

Knippa thinks we’re in the seventh inning of a bubble but maintains that’s where the most explosive moves are often made. The so-called “blow-off top” formation is the frenzied buying before the bottom falls out from long market runs. The most famous end of a bubble of the last generation was the 30% gain in the Nasdaq (^IXIC) from February 1st to the all-time high on March 10th 2000.

Whatever you think of the valuations and today they are nothing compared to what was going on during the waning weeks of the dot.com top formation.

Obviously it’s dangerous for investors to be caught long during an investment implosion but Knippa is unabashed about the upside potential. “I don’t think we’re ridiculously overvalued but I think we’re gonna become ridiculously overvalued. I think equities could double or even triple from here.”

His strategy for participating in the upside without getting completely wiped out is to stay long individual stocks and put in stop-loss orders 25% below his positions. The key is rolling those stops higher as the momentum continues.

For long-term investors Knippa’s strategy is absurd on the surface. The implications of what would be left in the wake of a bubble of that magnitude would be horrific. It’s hard to objectively hope such a scenario unfolds but Knippa is clearly devoted to the market he has, not the one he wants.

Knippa thinks stocks are going much, much higher. It’s an openly extreme call but long time traders know better than to question what’s possible.

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SAC Capital Doubles It’s Zynga Stake….Time To Buy?

SAC Capital (Point 72 Asset Management) doubled their stake in Zynga (ZNGA)  to 5% over the last few months. With Zynga selling at 70% off of its value from just two years ago….is it time for us to load up as well? 

Probably NOT. 

Listen, I would be the first one to tell you that I am not smart enough to figure out Zynga’s business model. Not in terms of their revenue generating capability, but in terms of creating “popular games”. This is more or less similar to a movie business model where the hits can be anticipated, but not fully predicted. 

While the stock has been trending higher over the last few months, it did leave a large gap at around $3.50 that it must close before any meaningful gains can take place. Further, with our mathematical and timing works showing a bear market between 2014-2017, there will be very little chance for this highly speculative stock to move higher. As such, I would definitely stay away from Zynga until and unless it breaks out above $6.  

zynga-investwithalex

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SAC Capital Doubles It’s Zynga Stake….Time To Buy?   Google

Bloomberg Writes: Troubled SAC Capital Doubles Its Stake in Troubled Zynga

Maybe it’s investment as performance art? Hedge fund titan Steven Cohen, head of insider trading hotbed SAC Capital, has increased his stake in troubled game makerZynga (ZNGA) to more than 5 percent, according to a company filing, more than double the 2.2 percent he held at the end of 2013.

Zynga makes FarmVille, Words With Friends, Draw Something, and other social games. The company has had a rough time since going public at the end of 2011, including multiple rounds of layoffs, ill-considered acquisitions, and a soured relationship with Facebook (FB). Hedge funds own almost 58 percent of Zynga shares, according to Bloomberg data, up from 27 percent one year ago.

While Cohen is famous for buying and selling stocks rapidly, SAC Capital does have some large and seemingly miscellaneous holdings, including 8.8 percent ofClearwater Paper (CLW), 4.87 percent of Trulia (TRLA), and 4.71 percent of Crocs(CROX).

At $4.49, shares of Zynga have lost 69.7 percent since their high on March 2, 2012. This year the shares have gained 16.8 percent, owing largely to a $527 millionpurchase of mobile game developer NaturalMotion in January, which the company announced alongside a new round of layoffs. More analysts rate Zynga a sell than a buy, according to Bloomberg data.

Cohen’s hedge fund asked a federal judge on Thursday to approve its $1.8 billion insider trading settlement with the government, saying it was “deeply remorseful”for a sustained pattern of illegal activity by its employees. Six former employees have pleaded guilty to insider trading; two more, Michael Steinberg and Mathew Martoma, were found guilty at trial in recent months. As part of its deal with the government, SAC has agreed to stop managing outside investors’ money.

SAC, which is changing its name to Point72 Asset Management, will continue as a “family office” managing Cohen’s personal fortune. Cohen is worth $8.7 billion, and has amassed one of the world’s better collections of contemporary art, including a dead shark in a tank of formaldehyde, a human head sculpted out ofthe artist’s own frozen blood, and some paintings. Valued at $173 million, the Zynga stake is not much more than the $155 million Cohen paid one year ago for Le Rêve, a 1932 oil painting by Pablo Picasso.

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How The Stock Market Is Rigged

60 Minutes did a very good story on high frequency trading and how it rips most investors off. While we have talked about this issue a number of times on this blog, this report does a much better job. Further, while I don’t believe the notion that the entire stock market is gamed, the transactional side of it is most certainly rigged.  It is time our government does something useful for a change and ban this practice. 

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How The Stock Market Is Rigged Google

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Weekly Market Update, Analysis & Forecast

Daily Chart March 28, 2014 investwithalex

Weekly Update & Summary: March 28th, 2014

This was a rough week for the market. Particularly, for the Nasdaq and iShare NASDAQ Biotechnology Index (IBB). While the Nasdaq lost 121 points (-2.83%), the IBB declined 16.6 points or (-6.76%). The Dow fared much better by squeezing out a tiny gain of 20 points (0.12%). Structurally, the market did very well this week by closing most of the gaps. Keep in mind, the Dow left a large gap behind at around 16,050. I believe the market will go back to close that gap when the bear market initiates.

FUNDAMENTAL & MARKET ANALYSIS:   

Why Interest Rates Will Remain Low

According to David Kotok, co-founder, chairman and chief investment officer of Cumberland Advisors,  ”long-term rates are likely to stay near current levels for quite a while”.

I tend to agree, but I will go even further. Not only will interest rates stay low, but I would expect the 10-Year Note to retrace back to at least 2% over the next 2-3 years.Why? 

Again, the forecast above is based on our incredibly accurate mathematical and timing work. This work predicts a severe bear market in US equities between 2014-2017 and a subsequent deep recession. As it is now, inflation is nonexistent as we continue to deal with debt liquidating deflationary forces.

When the bear market hits (we are almost there), the FED will have no choice but to abandon their “tightening” plan. Instead, a year from now they will be flooding the market with further liquidity/stimulus to try and avoid any further collapse. As you can understand, in such a interest rate environment, short-term rates will remain at zero while long-term tail of the yield curve will flatten once again. 

Is Gold About To Surge?

There is very little love for the yellow stuff at the moment. Since topping out less than two weeks ago, gold is down 6%. Today,many people and money managers are falling all over each other, suggesting that the gold has topped out and the time to short is NOW. Not so fast. Not according to our mathematical and timing work.

Here is what most people miss. Most people anticipate strong economy, tightening, stronger dollar and somewhat higher interest rates going forward. That is not what our mathematical and timing work shows. Not at all. Quite the opposite.  Our work shows that a severe bear market of 2014-2017 is about to start, ushering in a deep recession where the FED will be forced to flood the market with liquidity once again. Not tighten by any measure. In such an environment (liquidity pump while equity markets decline) gold tends to perform very well. 

That is on top of a favorable technical setup. While I wouldn’t buy just yet, Gold should be on your BUY watch list.

What Does The Yield Curve Yield?

The opposite of what most other market participants believe. Most market participants anticipate the FED to tighten, as they have indicated, indicating economic growth and higher interest rates. In such a scenario you should see spreads widening. Instead, we are beginning to see a trend reversal and yield curve compression since the start of this year. 

Does the bond market see something that most other market participants do not? 

yield curve investwithalex

I believe so. In fact, we anticipate the yield curve to flatten further over the next 24 months and possibly invert as the bear market of 2014-2017 enters the picture. As we have indicated on this blog so many times before the bear market will usher in a severe recession, forcing the FED to flood the market with further liquidity. In such an environment, we would anticipate the long end of the curve to head lower. Much lower. 

MACROECONOMIC ANALYSIS: 

Ukraine continues to  be the most important issue. In fact, things might escalate significantly over the next 10 days.  

As I published on my blog, I am getting an unconfirmed report from a Russian military acquaintance that Russia will go into East Ukraine late next week. This is further confirmed by my analysis of Russian media and physical Russian troop buildup along Ukraine’s border. In addition, this is further confirmed by Pentagon’s warning and direct warning against such action by President Obama. I will have much more on this on Monday as I need to verify this information from another source (I am trying to track someone down). Thursday, April 4th was mentioned as the date. 

If true, anticipate the stock market to crater next week. This action will provoke a completely different ball game in the international community. One thing is for sure, this will be an interesting week to watch.   

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS: 

Long-Term: The trend is still up. Market action in January-February could be viewed as a simple correction in an ongoing bull market. 

Intermediary-Term: Since February 5th, intermediary term picture shifted from negative to positive. Giving us a technical indication that both the intermediary term and the long term trends are up. Yet, that in itself can be misleading as per our timing analysis discussion below.

Short-Term: While the short-term trend remains bullish, it might be misleading as per our timing analysis discussion below.  

Again, even though all 3 trends are bullish for the time being, that might be misleading. Please read our Mathematical and Timing Analysis to see what will transpire over the next few weeks.    

MATHEMATICAL & TIMING ANALYSIS:  

(*** Please Note: This time around about 90% of the information contained within this section has been deliberately removed as it contain too much technical information. Particularly, exact dates and prices of the upcoming turning points. As well as trading forecasts associated with them. I deem such information to be too valuable to be released onto the general public.  As such, this information is only available to my premium subscribers. If you are a premium subscriber please Click Here to log in. If  you would be interested in becoming a subscriber and gaining access to the most accurate forecasting service available anywhere, a forecasting service that gives you exact turning points in both price and time, please Click Here to learn more.Don’t forget, we have a risk free 14-day trial).  

Based on our mathematical and timing work the next turning point is located at

Date: XXXX 
Price: XXXX

XXXX

Point being, you should have an exact strategy and entry/exit points based on the forecast above.  

The list below is for your reference point. It entails my investment strategy for my own investment purposes. While you are free to follow me, please do so at your own risk. Do not take this as a trading advice.

Stock

Entry Point ($)

Action To Take

XXXX

88

XXXX

XXXX

1160-1180

XXXX

XXXX

515

XXXX

XXXX

74

XXXX

XXXX

21

XXXX

XXXX

420

XXXX

XXXX

35

XXXX

XXXX

65

XXXX

XXXX

120

XXXX

XXXX

100

XXXX

XXXX

112

XXXX

Otherwise, I suggest the following positioning over the next few days/weeks to minimize risk while positioning yourself for a forecasted market action. (This is continuation of our previous positioning).

If You Are A Trader:  XXXX

If No Position:  XXXX

If Long: XXXX

If Short:  XXXX

CONCLUSION: 

An incredibly important week is coming up. Only one scenario remains on the table. I have also described the point force we are looking at and exactly what you should do in each case. With increased volatility, multiple interference patterns and an incredibly important long-term turning point we must be very careful and risk averse here.  Those anticipating the moves and those who can time them properly will be rewarded appropriately.

Please Note: XXXX is available to our premium subscribers in our + Subscriber Section. It’s FREE to start. 

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Weekly Market Update, Analysis & Forecast  Google

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Stock Market Update, March 28th, 2014. InvestWithAlex.com

Daily Chart March 28, 2014 investwithalex

Another volatile day with the Dow Jones appreciating 59 points (0.36%) and the Nasdaq up 4.5 points (0.11%).

The stock market continues to behave just as our mathematical and timing work indicates (exact forecast is available in our subscriber section). Most markets opened up with a gap and rallied early on. Only to sell off and close the gap before reversing higher. I continue to believe that we will see higher prices and a short term bounce over the next few days. As shown yesterday, the Nasdaq continues to be oversold and due for a bounce. Thus far it has been successful in building a short-term base from which it might rally over the next few days. 

Yet, any upside here will be short lived. Our mathematical work continues to show that the bear market of 2014-2017 will start in the not too distant future. If you would like to learn exactly when the bear market will start (to the day) and it’s internal composition, please Click Here.  

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Stock Market Update, March 28th, 2014. InvestWithAlex.com  Google