Visitor Question: How important is TIMING when making Investment Decisions? – DJ
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How Important Is Timing When Making Investment Decisions – Daily Podcast Google
Investment Grin Of The Day – Sorry Ladies But I Had To
Torture & A Relentless Drive Towards War With Russia
You know the US went off its rails when top government officials begin justifying torture, any sort of torture, as acceptable. I can tell you one thing, the US of today is not the beacon of light/hope that most saw over the last 50 years. Despite the horrors of torture, there is a much bigger problem that no one is talking about. A relentless drive towards war with Russia by the Obama Administration.
Just imagine for a second what would happen if Russia built a massive military base in Tijuana, Mexico. I bet you my left kidney that the US would see that as a declaration of war. I am not sure why the same rules don’t apply to the US. Now, here is the scary part. If you follow Russian news, as I do, some of the top Russians generals see this NATO buildup as just that. A declaration of war against Russia. They are now pushing Putin to do something about it. Consider the following…..
- Move your arsenal! US tanks, APCs, Humvees roll through Latvia (VIDEO, PHOTOS)
- Gorbachev Warns World Can’t Survive Another War
There is no need for the US Military machine to be sitting right on the Russian border. Well, unless the US wants war. I discuss this topic in my recently published book The Nuclear World War 3 Is Coming Soon: Shocking TIME Formula Reveals Exactly When How & Why.
Our Total Debt Cannot Possibly Be Repaid…Now What
12/11/2014 – A positive day with the Dow Jones up 63 points (+0.36%) and the Nasdaq up 24 points (+0.52%).
An important macro look at the state of total debt and its impact on our financial markets. It’s a quick read and I highly recommend it. The World on the Verge of Another Financial Crisis.
Most people don’t comprehend that we are living in a protracted debt crisis with no possible solution, because the majority of money (about 98 per cent) in today’s economies in the U.S., the U.K., Canada and Europe is debt-money, primarily generated by private banks when they issue loans. The problem is that the sum total of these debts—which can never be repaid no matter how much the economy grows
I couldn’t agree more. The problem is, this debt has spread though every level and every sector of our economy. Including our financial markets. And there lies the problem. Over the last few decades this debt explosion has been used to propel our economy and markets higher. Unfortunately, the velocity of credit is now slowing down or non existent. With interest rates close to zero, there is very little the FED can do now. QE or not.
That means we are at a point of inflection. We either let this debt collapse and liquidate through a deflationary depression -OR- it will be inflated away. One thing is certain, whichever scenario plays out, it’s not going to be a pretty picture.
This conclusion is further supported by my mathematical and timing work. It clearly shows a severe bear market between 2014-2017. In fact, when it starts it will very quickly retrace most of the gains accrued over the last few years. If you would be interested in learning when the bear market of 2014-2017 will start (to the day) and its internal composition, please CLICK HERE
(***Please Note: Due to my obligations to my Subscribers I am unable to provide you with more exact forecasts. In fact, I am being “Wishy Washy” at best with my FREE daily updates here. If you would be interested in exact forecasts, dates, times and precise daily coverage, please Click Here). Daily Stock Market Update. December 11th, 2014 InvestWithAlex.com
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Should I Invest In Apple? – Podcast
Investment Wisdom Of The Day
Is It Time To Buy Russia & Ruble?
With the Cold War 2 in full swing and with Russian markets and Ruble collapsing, is it time to try and catch a falling knife? Will Russia go from wounded bear to bucking bull
Not so fast. We first looked at the Russian market back in May of this year when it was undergoing a strong bounce from March lows. And after topping out at around $27 the Russian market is now down close to 40%. With that in mind, my view remains the same.
Trying to pick an exact bottom is a fools game. There is very little doubt that the Russian market is selling incredibly cheap. We are talking about below 2009 March bottom for the US market cheap. Yet, it doesn’t mean the RSX cannot go lower. First, we need a technical confirmation that the market has bottomed. As of now, it is nowhere in sight. Not even close. As a result, Russia should remain on your “watch” list until the bottom is set, technical reversal is achieved and a new bull market begins.
Once that happens, the time would be right to load up on some Russian equities at give away prices …… you know Putin will.
How Much Lower Before Santa Claus Rally Hopefuls Begin Panic Selling?
12/10/2016 – A big down day with the Dow Jones down 267 points (-1.5%) and the Nasdaq down 82 points (-1.73%).
If there was one uniform “TRUTH” sold by most of Wall Street throughout all of November and early December it was as follows…..”The Santa Claus rally is in the bag and most markets are likely to finish the year at or near all time highs”.
Perhaps. Yet, seasonality is not a fool proof measure. Sometimes it works and sometimes it backfires…..big time. For instance, Novembers are seasonally net negative and/or one of the worst months to hold stocks. Yet, November of 2014 proved to be net positive. More so, both the S&P and the Dow set multiple all time highs during the month. It is too much to expect that December will be a net negative, despite positive seasonality? I don’t think so.
Here is what I am driving at. As of today’s close the Dow is up YTD just 5.8%. How much lower do the markets have to go from today’s levels before hedge fund and mutual fund managers begin to dump everything in sight in an attempt to lock in annual gains. Any kind of gains to ensure that their 2014 is net positive.
Perhaps another 200 down points on the Dow….. maybe 400. Will there be a short-term panic? I think we are about to find out.
This conclusion is further supported by my mathematical and timing work. It clearly shows a severe bear market between 2014-2017. In fact, when it starts it will very quickly retrace most of the gains accrued over the last few years. If you would be interested in learning when the bear market of 2014-2017 will start (to the day) and its internal composition, please CLICK HERE
(***Please Note: Due to my obligations to my Subscribers I am unable to provide you with more exact forecasts. In fact, I am being “Wishy Washy” at best with my FREE daily updates here. If you would be interested in exact forecasts, dates, times and precise daily coverage, please Click Here). Daily Stock Market Update. December 10th, 2014 InvestWithAlex.com
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How Much Lower Before Santa Claus Rally Hopefuls Begin Panic Selling? Google
Investment Wisdom Of The Day
Hussman Expects A 30-50% Drop……Should You?
In early 2007 I started telling everyone I knew that they should go into cash. At that juncture I was about 9 months too early and a few percentage points short of the actual October 2007 top. Yet, people who ended up following my advice were not only able to avoid a massive 2007-2009 drop, preserving their cash, they were able to buy stocks at dirt cheap prices at 2009 bottom.
John Hussman says we are now witnessing the same kind of equity valuation bubble that preceded the last two stock drops of 50 percent or more. Hussman: Dismal Outlook for Stocks — Air Pocket, Free Fall or Crash
“My own view is that stocks are vulnerable to the risk of deep losses over the completion of the present cycle not unlike those it experienced in the two most recent cycles, and are likely to post total returns from present valuations of only about 1.4% annually over the coming decade.”
I couldn’t agree more. Think about it in the following fashion. Given today’s valuation levels, even if we are lucky enough to avoid a crash/decline, the stock market is unlikely to go much higher. In fact, any further upside would simply add to bubble valuation levels, leading to an ultimately crash scenario. In other words, Mr.Market has already borrowed returns from 5-10 years into the future in order to yield today’s stock prices.
Invest accordingly.