11/13/2014 – An up day with the Dow Jones up 41 points (+0.23%) and the Nasdaq up 5 points (+0.11%) 

Throughout the year this blog has been overwhelmingly bearish. Not because I am a bear, but rather, this stance is solely based on the fact that my mathematical and timing work clearly points to a bear market of 2014-2017. Despite all of that, the market continues to trend higher. So, to shift gears and to take a look at the other side of the coin, lets consider today’s higher highs.

The case for a bull market is fairly straight forward……..

• Most technical indicators have turned positive.
• The advance/decline line has turned up.
• The number of new 52-week highs has been expending.
• The Dow Theory continues to confirm a bull market.
• Most markets are at an all time high.
• Seasonality suggests that the bull market will continue.
• Republicans will bring business back. Presidential cycle suggests up markets.
• Oil prices are falling and that’s great for the overall economy.
• Corporate earnings are great, unemployment is low, fundamentals are good, confidence is up, etc……
• Oh and I almost forgot, everyone will get a Ferrari along with a massive tax return in early 2015.

If all of the facts above don’t make you want to pawn your left kidney and buy every stock under the sun, I don’t what will.

My response is………..so what? 

All of the above is already well know and discounted by the market. As I have suggested so many times before, market moves according to its own mathematical points of force, not fundamental data. Consider the following. Most of the bullish points above were just as relevant on September 19th as they are today. Yet, the stock market proceeded to top out and then decline close to 10% in a matter 3 short weeks.

That is to say, don’t for a second believe that this market cannot decline into the end of the year. Perhaps even faster than it just came up. If you would like to find out what happens next, please click on the link below.

This conclusion is further supported by my mathematical and timing work. It clearly shows a severe bear market between 2014-2017. In fact, when it starts it will very quickly retrace most of the gains accrued over the last few years.  If you would be interested in learning when the bear market of 2014-2017 will start (to the day) and its internal composition, please CLICK HERE

(***Please Note: Due to my obligations to my Subscribers I am unable to provide you with more exact forecasts. In fact, I am being “Wishy Washy” at best with my FREE daily updates here. If you would be interested in exact forecasts, dates, times and precise daily coverage, please Click Here). Daily Stock Market Update. November 7th, 2014 InvestWithAlex.com

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Will The Bull Market Continue? Google

11/5/2014 – A mixed day with the Dow Jones up 100 points (+0.58%) and the Nasdaq down 3 points (-0.06%)

According to most technical indicators the time is now right to pawn your liver and to go long this market. The bulls have won. In fact, forget about 2014. According to most market pundits it’s a done deal and we are now better off wondering how great 2015 will be. Why 2015 may also be a good year for stocks

Perhaps. I hate to be a party pooper, but it was just 15 trading days ago that most investors were freaking out about a possible market crash as they were looking down the abyss of never ending market decline. I know…..I know…..we are setting higher highs and the bearish pattern that the market had set in October is now in void.

Is it? That is to say, don’t be so fast to celebrate.  As I have suggested before, today’s rally has all of the trademarks of a bear market rally (incredibly fast, low volume, massive gaps, etc).  In other words, the jury is still out. The market can decline, even collapse, just as fast it rallied over the last 15 days. Only one thing is certain, today’s market setup is incredibly complex. As a matter of fact, if you would like to find out if you should leverage into a long position now or short the living crap out of this market, please Click Here.   

This conclusion is further supported by my mathematical and timing work. It clearly shows a severe bear market between 2014-2017. In fact, when it starts it will very quickly retrace most of the gains accrued over the last few years.  If you would be interested in learning when the bear market of 2014-2017 will start (to the day) and its internal composition, please CLICK HERE

(***Please Note: Due to my obligations to my Subscribers I am unable to provide you with more exact forecasts. In fact, I am being “Wishy Washy” at best with my FREE daily updates here. If you would be interested in exact forecasts, dates, times and precise daily coverage, please Click Here). Daily Stock Market Update. November 5th, 2014 InvestWithAlex.com

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Unstoppable Stock Market Or Time To Short? Google

11/4/2014 – A mixed day with the Dow Jones up 17 points (+0.10%) and the Nasdaq down 15 points (-0.33%)

It appears the question on everyone’s mind is…..when will the Dow hit 20,000?  Why Dow 20K may take longer than you think

And while some perma bulls believe that it might happen by the end of this year, most remaining bears would sneer at the suggestion. Not that it really matters, but since you have asked…..

Based on my mathematical and timing work the Dow will first hit 20,000 in 2018. Roughly 4 years from now. If you are counting that would yield an annualized rate of return of about 3%. Better than the treasure yield, but still far from desired returns. What’s more, it won’t be as easy as most people believe.

Before reaching 20K, the Dow will go though a massive bear market of 2014-2017. It will be a complex market that will drive both bulls and bears up the wall of frustration. Just imagine massive sell offs followed by quick rallies and you have a fairly accurate picture of what will happen over the next few years. From where I am sitting and based on my work, only market timers and good traders will be able to make money in such an environment. If you are neither one, I suggest you click here.  

This conclusion is further supported by my mathematical and timing work. It clearly shows a severe bear market between 2014-2017. In fact, when it starts it will very quickly retrace most of the gains accrued over the last few years.  If you would be interested in learning when the bear market of 2014-2017 will start (to the day) and its internal composition, please CLICK HERE

(***Please Note: Due to my obligations to my Subscribers I am unable to provide you with more exact forecasts. In fact, I am being “Wishy Washy” at best with my FREE daily updates here. If you would be interested in exact forecasts, dates, times and precise daily coverage, please Click Here). Daily Stock Market Update. November 3rd, 2014 InvestWithAlex.com

Did you enjoy this article? If so, please share our blog with your friends as we try to get traction. Gratitude!!!

When Will The Dow Hit 20,000? Google

11/3/2014 – A mixed day with the Dow Jones down 24 points (-0.14%) and the Nasdaq up 8 points (+0.18%).

If you study Kondratieff cycle/wave you soon realize that periods of deflation are not only unavoidable, they are quite good for the overall Economy. A simple fact most central bankers and the FED Economists seem to dismiss. Even at the cost of destroying their own currencies and national economies in the process (yeah I am talking about you Japan).

Over the last few years I have maintained that we are in a “stealth deflationary environment”. That is to say, the real deflation was being masked by ZERO Interest Rates and Trillions of Worldwide QE stimulus. Bill Gross tends to agree Deflation is a growing possibility: Bill Gross

This is rather simple to understand. Massive worldwide stimulus is the only thing hiding real deflation. If taken away under “Normal Monetary Policy Guidelines” you would see most asset prices (real estate, stocks, commodities, etc….) declining in value. Given massive over investment and/or malinvestment in most productive sectors of the economy over the last 35 years, it would be the only logical outcome.

And no matter how much central bankers would like to avoid deflation at the cost of devaluing their own currencies, the final collapse and debt liquidation is unavoidable. Given today’s zero interest rates and maxed our QE/Credit velocity, I fathom we are about to finally witness true deflation. Well, either that or an all out currency war that Japan started on Friday.

This conclusion is further supported by my mathematical and timing work. It clearly shows a severe bear market between 2014-2017. In fact, when it starts it will very quickly retrace most of the gains accrued over the last few years.  If you would be interested in learning when the bear market of 2014-2017 will start (to the day) and its internal composition, please CLICK HERE

(***Please Note: Due to my obligations to my Subscribers I am unable to provide you with more exact forecasts. In fact, I am being “Wishy Washy” at best with my FREE daily updates here. If you would be interested in exact forecasts, dates, times and precise daily coverage, please Click Here). Daily Stock Market Update. November 3rd, 2014 InvestWithAlex.com

Did you enjoy this article? If so, please share our blog with your friends as we try to get traction. Gratitude!!!

Is True Deflation About To Start? Google