Investment Wisdom Of The Day Google
Goodbye QE…..Hello Bear Market?
10/29/2014 – A negative day with the Dow Jones down 32 points (-0.19%) and the Nasdaq down 15 points (-0.33%).
With QE now over, we are about to find out if it was the real economy that kept the stock market afloat or the monopoly money flow from the FED. At least this guy believes the market is heading higher Four reasons the market will rally for the rest of 2014. To spare you some time, here are his reasons…..
- The market is too scared.
- The US Economy is awesome.
- Strong seasonality.
- We will never have another 2008 recession/depression.
I only wish this article was around at October 14th bottom. Yet, he left out the most important fact of all. If Michelle Obama divorces Barack, that would add at least 2 points to our overall GDP growth.
On a more serious note, anyone who makes investment decisions based on such hogwash is bound to lose money. In reality, this situation is the most complex it has been in quite a few years. Consider the following. The stock market is in a massive speculative bubble, the yield curve continues to flatten (suggesting recession ahead), the FED just ended QE and we are overdue for a bear market. In other words, the risk is too high.
This conclusion is further supported by my mathematical and timing work. It clearly shows a severe bear market between 2014-2017. In fact, when it starts it will very quickly retrace most of the gains accrued over the last few years. If you would be interested in learning when the bear market of 2014-2017 will start (to the day) and its internal composition, please CLICK HERE
(***Please Note: Due to my obligations to my Subscribers I am unable to provide you with more exact forecasts. In fact, I am being “Wishy Washy” at best with my FREE daily updates here. If you would be interested in exact forecasts, dates, times and precise daily coverage, please Click Here). Daily Stock Market Update. October 29th, 2014 InvestWithAlex.com
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Investment Grin Of The Day
Inspiration Of The Day
Bullish Sentiment Is Back To Its August High…..What’s Next?
11/6/2014 – An up day with the Dow Jones up 70 points (+0.40%) and the Nasdaq up 18 points (+0.38%).
The video below represents a fairly accurate bullish/bearish case for the market. Take a look and decide for yourself. However, if you do want/need a more detailed analysis of what’s coming up next, click on the link below.
CLICK HERE TO SEE VIDEO: Are there too many bulls on Wall Street?
This conclusion is further supported by my mathematical and timing work. It clearly shows a severe bear market between 2014-2017. In fact, when it starts it will very quickly retrace most of the gains accrued over the last few years. If you would be interested in learning when the bear market of 2014-2017 will start (to the day) and its internal composition, please CLICK HERE
(***Please Note: Due to my obligations to my Subscribers I am unable to provide you with more exact forecasts. In fact, I am being “Wishy Washy” at best with my FREE daily updates here. If you would be interested in exact forecasts, dates, times and precise daily coverage, please Click Here). Daily Stock Market Update. October 27th, 2014 InvestWithAlex.com
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Bullish Sentiment Is Back To Its August High…..What’s Next? Google
Investment Grin Of The Day
Investment Grin Of The Day
Buying Panic Or Volumeless Bounce?
10/23/2014 – A big up day with the Dow Jones up 215 points (+1.31%) and the Nasdaq up 70 points (+1.60%).
The stock market continues to perform exactly as forecasted. If you would be interested in learning what happens next, please Click Here.
Over the last few days I have suggested that about 95% of all market pundits and participants anticipate a quick recovery and an all time high by the end of the year. Perhaps no one embodies the attitude more than Cramer: Time to shop the drop
Despite all the bullish hoopla and today’s “buy, buy, buy” panic, there are some people out there who do make sense. This Rise Looks Like A Bear Market Rally, And That Changes Everything.
The sizable, sharp stock drop has now been followed by an equally sharp, albeit smaller, run-up. Unfortunately, this behavior is indicative of a “bear market rally” rather than a post-correction base-building period. Confirming this view is the considerable and widespread weakness evident among individual stocks.
I couldn’t agree more.
We perhaps could still consider these negatives as acceptable if underlying, fundamental conditions firmly supported a bull market vision. However, the actual conditions have increasingly raised questions, concerns and uncertainty – issues that better match a bear market than a bull one: etc…..
This conclusion is further supported by my mathematical and timing work. It clearly shows a severe bear market between 2014-2017. In fact, when it starts it will very quickly retrace most of the gains accrued over the last few years. If you would be interested in learning when the bear market of 2014-2017 will start (to the day) and its internal composition, please CLICK HERE
(***Please Note: Due to my obligations to my Subscribers I am unable to provide you with more exact forecasts. In fact, I am being “Wishy Washy” at best with my FREE daily updates here. If you would be interested in exact forecasts, dates, times and precise daily coverage, please Click Here). Daily Stock Market Update. October 23rd, 2014 InvestWithAlex.com
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Investment Grin Of The Day
The Shocking Truth Behind Today’s Stock Market
10/22/2014 – A negative day with the Dow Jones down 153 points (-0.92%) and the Nasdaq down 37 points (-0.83%).
The market continues to perform exactly as anticipated. In the meantime, most people believe the correction is over. After October dip, stocks may be ready for a rip. A quick summary:
In 11 past years, the S&P has hit a 12-month high in September before correcting at least 5 percent from that high at some point in October, according to Jason Goepfert of SentimenTrader. Goepfert went on to find that in the Novembers that followed, the S&P had a positive month in eight of 11 times. Even more impressive, the market was positive through December in 10 of 11 years, gaining at least 3 percent in each year besides the infamous 1929.
Again, the analysis above is idiotic. Anyone who makes investment decisions based on the above is bound to lose a lot of money. It is as simple as that.
Instead…. consider the following.
- The stock market is incredibly overpriced. By most valuation metrics. With some valuations pushing 2007 and 2000 (nasdaq) tops.
- The 5 year bull market cycle is now over.
- We are still in a 17 year secular bear market that started in 2000. The last 2-3 years are always down.
- There are no bears left. Everyone has capitulated.
- Bulls see every 5-10% correction as a buying opportunity of a lifetime. Like today.
- The FED is tightening and any remaining QE velocity is collapsing.
- Massive divergences. Particularly with the bond market.
- Smart investors like Icahn, Soros, Faber, Rogers are shorting this market.
- Etc….I can list another 20 points, but you get the idea.
Still think the Dow will be 20,000 by the end of the year? Yeah……good luck with that.
This conclusion is further supported by my mathematical and timing work. It clearly shows a severe bear market between 2014-2017. In fact, when it starts it will very quickly retrace most of the gains accrued over the last few years. If you would be interested in learning when the bear market of 2014-2017 will start (to the day) and its internal composition, please CLICK HERE
(***Please Note: Due to my obligations to my Subscribers I am unable to provide you with more exact forecasts. In fact, I am being “Wishy Washy” at best with my FREE daily updates here. If you would be interested in exact forecasts, dates, times and precise daily coverage, please Click Here). Daily Stock Market Update. October 22nd, 2014 InvestWithAlex.com
Did you enjoy this article? If so, please share our blog with your friends as we try to get traction. Gratitude!!!